Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
14.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Holstein Kiel - Bayern München

Germany Futbol
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
1 : 6
Finished
Bayern München
Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Holstein Kiel - Bayern München 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 13.17 / X 7.77 / 2 1.20
  • 1X2 market: Holstein Kiel 7.3% / X 12.4% / Bayern München 80.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 7.3%
X 12.4%
2 80.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Holstein Kiel - Bayern München

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.20 market consensus · line only
X 7.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.11 market consensus · line only
1X 5.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 13.17 7.6%
Х 7.77 12.9%
П2 1.20 83.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.06 94.3%
home_away 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 5.00 20.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 3.5 2.16 46.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 11.54 8.7%
П2 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Bayern München
W
01.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:0 FrayburgFrayburg
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points