Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
29.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Frankfurt

Germany Futbol
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
2 : 4
Finished
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Frankfurt 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eintracht Frankfurt.

Line favourite market consensus: Eintracht Frankfurt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.01 / X 4.00 / 2 1.88
  • 1X2 market: Holstein Kiel 24.2% / X 24.2% / Eintracht Frankfurt 51.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 24.2%
X 24.2%
2 51.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Frankfurt

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.88 market consensus · line only
X 4.00 market consensus · line only
1 4.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.02 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.01 24.9%
Х 4.00 25.0%
П2 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.28 78.1%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 2.02 49.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.43 41.2%
ТМ 3.5 1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.03 33.0%
П2 1.42 70.4%
Match center
Holstein Kiel
D L
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel 2:2 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
14.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel 1:6 BavariyaBavariya
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
4.0 Conceded
1 Points
Eintracht Frankfurt
W W
21.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points