Match center
Start
20.10.2024 13:30 UTC
20.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin 20 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin.
Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.83 / X 3.51 / 2 2.07
- 1X2 market: Holstein Kiel 25.4% / X 27.7% / Union Berlin 46.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.9%
1
25.4%
X
27.7%
2
46.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.07
market consensus · line only
X
3.51
market consensus · line only
1
3.83
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.30
market consensus · line only
12
1.34
market consensus · line only
1X
1.83
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.86
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.05
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.83 26.1% |
| Х | 3.51 28.5% |
| П2 | 2.07 48.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_draw | 1.83 54.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.86 53.8% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.79 35.8% |
| П2 | 1.48 67.6% |
Match center
Holstein Kiel
D
L
D
L
05.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
2:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
29.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
2:4
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
21.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
2:2
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
14.09 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
1:6
Bavariya
Bavariya
0
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
3.5
Conceded
2
Points
Union Berlin
W
L
W
D
05.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
2:1
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
28.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
0:1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
21.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
2:1
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
14.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
0:0
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyHolstein Kiel - Union Berlin
Holstein Kiel
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals