PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Bundesliga
Bundesliga Austria
05.04.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2026 12:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Austria

Lask Linz - Austria Vienna

Austria Football
Stadium Raiffeisen Arena
Capacity 19 080
Lask Linz
Lask Linz
4 : 1
Finished
Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Lask Linz — 42%

1 · Lask Linz41.7%
X · draw27.1%
2 · Austria Vienna31.2%

Model estimate: win Lask Linz 41.7%, draw 27.1%, win Austria Vienna 31.2%. Model favourite — Lask Linz.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lask Linz - Austria Vienna April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lask Linz.

Strongest: Lask Linz - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.43 / 2 3.50
  • 1X2 market: Lask Linz 46.2% / X 27.2% / Austria Vienna 26.6%
  • Glicko: Lask Linz 41.7% / X 27.1% / Austria Vienna 31.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 13.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 46.3%
X 27.1%
2 26.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 44.5%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 05.04.2026 12:30 UTC
Stadium Raiffeisen Arena (Linz)
Capacity 19,080

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ?????  ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Lask Linz 42%
💹 Market Lask Linz 4623%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Lask Linz - Austria Vienna

Lask Linz: Win 2.10 Lask Linz: Draw 3.40 Austria Vienna Win: 3.30 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.90 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.90 Individualnyy total golov Lask Linz bolshe 1.5: 2.00 Individualnyy total golov Lask Linz menshe 1.5: 1.73 Individualnyy total golov A…

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:1
Events 17
Statistics 24
Lineups 17
min Event Player Team
4' 4' Normal Goal | M. Cissé Lask Linz
11' 11' Card upgrade | T. Plavotić György Komáromi Austria Vienna
11' 11' Red Card | T. Plavotić György Komáromi Austria Vienna
12' 12' Normal Goal | K. Jørgensen Mariya Oliver Sanchez Lask Linz
13' 13' Normal Goal | M. Usor Lask Linz
16' 16' Normal Goal | Lee Tae-Seok Austria Vienna
32' 32' Normal Goal Lask Linz
61' 61' Substitution 5 | P. Wiesinger | assist/sub out: D. Radonjic Matheus Souza Austria Vienna
Metric Lask Linz Austria Vienna SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2.66 0.35 final
Zablokirovannye udary 4 0 final
Shots off target 10 2 final
Shots on target 9 1 final
Udary vsego 23 3 final
Fouls soversheno 13 7 final
Red cards 0 1 final
Offsides 1 1 final
Lask Linz #1 S. Sahin-Radlinger, #5 A. Barry, #6 P. Maybach, #15 A. Dragovic, #16 Lee Kang-Hee, #19 J. Eggestein, #24 T. Plavotic, #26 R. Ranftl, #28 P. Wiesinger, #30 M. Fischer
Austria Vienna #10 S. Kalajdzic
Player Team Metric SStats
S. Kalajdzic Austria Vienna football.player.assists 0
S. Kalajdzic Austria Vienna Dribling popytki 7
S. Kalajdzic Austria Vienna Dribling uspeshno 2
S. Kalajdzic Austria Vienna Edinoborstva vyigrano 12
S. Kalajdzic Austria Vienna Fouls soversheno 2
S. Kalajdzic Austria Vienna Fouls na igroke 2
S. Kalajdzic Austria Vienna football.player.goals 1
S. Kalajdzic Austria Vienna Seyvy 0
S. Kalajdzic Austria Vienna football.player.minutes_played 90
S. Kalajdzic Austria Vienna Tochnost pasov % 1
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lask Linz 46.8% 41.7% market and model agree
Draw 26.8% 27.1% draw risk
Austria Vienna 26.5% 31.2%
xG - 1.34 : 1.12
Total 2.5 Over 13.6% - Under 86.4%
Model check - - Difference 0.05
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 41.7% / 27.1% / 31.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,547 / 1,552 Lask Linz / Austria Vienna
RD 78 / 78 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.50 market consensus · no value · model 31.2%
X 3.43 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.01 market consensus · no value · model 41.7%
Double chance
X2 1.77 market consensus · weak value +3.2% · model 58.3%
12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 72.9%
1X 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 68.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.51 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · no value · model 13.6%
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · weak value +65.1% · model 86.4%
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.55 28.2% 3.42 29.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.60 27.8%
3.55 28.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.54 28.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet William Hill
no 2.05 48.8% 2.01 49.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.01 49.8% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.27 78.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% — 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% — 1.23 81.3%
Over 1.75 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% —
Over 3.5 3.10 32.3% — —
Over 4.5 6.00 16.7% — —
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1% — —
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2% — —
Under 2.5 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6% —
Under 3.5 1.35 74.1% — —
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3% — —
Match center
Lask Linz
Founded 1908
Austria Vienna
Founded 1911
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLask Linz - Austria Vienna

Lask Linz
0 matches total
Austria Vienna
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.