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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
05.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3 : 1
Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - 1899 Hoffenheim April 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 4.55 / 2 5.08
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 59.9% / X 21.2% / 1899 Hoffenheim 19.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 59.9%
X 21.2%
2 19.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

RB Leipzig - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.08 market consensus · line only
X 4.55 market consensus · line only
1 1.61 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.41 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.61 62.1%
X 4.55 22.0%
5.08 19.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.41 41.5%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.24 44.6%
Under 3.5 1.69 59.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.27 78.7%
4.00 25.0%
Match center
RB Leipzig
W W W W D
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 FrayburgFrayburg
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:0 MayntsMaynts
06.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
22.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
1899 Hoffenheim
D W D L L
27.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
06.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
29.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points