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Bundesliga Germany

20.03.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction Prediction

20.03.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football

RB Leipzig

5 : 0

Finished

1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - 1899 Hoffenheim March 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 4.04 / 2 3.50
1X2 market: RB Leipzig 49.3% / X 23.5% / 1899 Hoffenheim 27.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 67.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 49.4%

X 23.5%

2 27.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.1%

Over 2.5 67.7%

Under 2.5 32.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.03.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

RB Leipzig - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.50 market consensus · line only

X 4.06 market consensus · line only

1 1.92 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.88 market consensus · line only

12 1.24 market consensus · line only

1X 1.30 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.51 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.37 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.90 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.38 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.89 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.91 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.92 52.1%
X	4.24 23.6%
	3.58 27.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.90 52.6%	1.94 51.6%	1.97 50.8%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%
X	3.95 25.3%	4.20 23.8%	4.18 23.9%	3.80 26.3%	4.10 24.4%	4.15 24.1%
	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%	3.73 26.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.65 27.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.90 34.5%	3.05 32.8%	2.89 34.6%	2.80 35.7%	2.75 36.4%	2.90 34.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	2.84 35.2%
yes	1.38 72.5%	1.38 72.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.38 72.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.37 73.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.85 54.1%	1.93 51.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.83 54.6%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.25 80.0%

Match center

RB Leipzig

L W W D D

15.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 0:1 VfB Stuttgart

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:1 FC Augsburg

01.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:1 Hamburger SV

21.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:2 Borussia Dortmund

15.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:2 VfL Wolfsburg

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

8 Points

1899 Hoffenheim

D W L D W

14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 4:2 1. FC Heidenheim

28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 0:1 FC St. Pauli

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:2 1. FC Köln

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Frayburg

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - 1899 Hoffenheim

RB Leipzig

2 matches total

1899 Hoffenheim

RB Leipzig: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

1899 Hoffenheim: 1 (50%)

Biggest win 1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 (08.11 14:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 08.11 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 4

Match history

08.11 14:30 UTC

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

1:3

1899 Hoffenheim

05.04 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

3:1

1899 Hoffenheim