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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
20.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Football
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1 : 3
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.67 / 2 3.14
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 43.8% / X 25.9% / Bayer Leverkusen 30.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 43.8%
X 25.9%
2 30.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 60.9%
Under 2.5 39.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.14 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 2.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.07 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.58 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.20 45.5%
X 3.75 26.7%
3.25 30.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.14 46.7% 2.17 46.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.82 26.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.65 27.4%
3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.24 30.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.55 39.2% 2.68 37.3% 2.56 39.1% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.73 36.6%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
RB Leipzig
L W D W L
12.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:3 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
06.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 6:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
28.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
23.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Bayer Leverkusen
W L L W W
13.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
29.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 6:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points