PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
11.04.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
11.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football
Stadium Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1 : 0
Finished
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 RB Leipzig — 65%

1 · RB Leipzig ✓ Pick65.0%
market65%
X · draw20.0%
market20%
2 · Borussia Monchengladbach15.0%
market15%

Model estimate: win RB Leipzig 65.0%, draw 20.0%, win Borussia Monchengladbach 15.0%. Model favourite — RB Leipzig.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - Borussia Monchengladbach April 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Strongest: RB Leipzig - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.82 / 2 6.28
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 65.1% / X 19.8% / Borussia Monchengladbach 15.2%
  • Glicko: RB Leipzig 65.0% / X 20.0% / Borussia Monchengladbach 15.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 35.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 ✓ Pick 65.1%
X 19.7%
2 15.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 63.5%
Under 2.5 36.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 65.4%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 11.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Stadium Red Bull Arena (Leyptsig)

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ?????  ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model RB Leipzig 65%
💹 Market RB Leipzig 6509%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

RB Leipzig - Borussia Monchengladbach

RB Leipzig: Win 1.45 RB Leipzig: Draw 5.00 Borussia Mönchengladbach Win: 6.00 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.10 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.73 Individualnyy total golov RB Leipzig bolshe 2.5: 2.20 Individualnyy total golov RB Leipzig menshe 2.5: 1.62 Individualnyy…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 24
Lineups 39
Metric RB Leipzig Borussia Monchengladbach SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2.43 1.78 final
Zablokirovannye udary 6 5 final
Shots off target 7 7 final
Shots on target 11 3 final
Udary vsego 24 15 final
Fouls soversheno 9 6 final
Zheltye kartochki 4 1 final
Offsides 3 1 final
RB Leipzig #4 K. Diks, #6 Y. Engelhardt, #9 F. Honorat, #15 H. Tabaković, #16 P. Sander, #17 J. Castrop, #26 L. Ullrich, #27 R. Reitz, #29 J. Scally, #30 N. Elvedi, #33 M. Nicolas
Borussia Monchengladbach #4 W. Orbán, #5 E. Bitshiabu, #7 A. Nusa, #13 N. Seiwald, #14 C. Baumgartner, #17 R. Baku, #22 D. Raum, #24 X. Schlager, #26 M. Vandevoordt, #40 Rômulo, #49 Y. Diomande
Player Team Metric SStats
F. Chiarodia RB Leipzig Dribling popytki 7
F. Chiarodia RB Leipzig Edinoborstva vyigrano 8
F. Chiarodia RB Leipzig Fouls soversheno 1
F. Chiarodia RB Leipzig Seyvy 0
F. Chiarodia RB Leipzig football.player.minutes_played 32
F. Chiarodia RB Leipzig Klyuchevye pasy 15
F. Chiarodia RB Leipzig Reyting (staryy) 7.2
F. Chiarodia RB Leipzig Shots on target 1
F. Chiarodia RB Leipzig Bloki 6
F. Chiarodia RB Leipzig Perekhvaty 2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
RB Leipzig 65.5% 65.0% market and model agree
Draw 19.2% 20.0% draw risk
Borussia Monchengladbach 15.3% 15.0%
xG - 2.09 : 0.89
Total 2.5 Over 35.2% - Under 64.8%
Model check - - Difference 0.01
Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.01

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 65.0% / 20.0% / 15.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,607 / 1,449 RB Leipzig / Borussia Monchengladbach
RD 77 / 77 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.28 market consensus · no value · model 15.0%
X 4.82 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.46 market consensus · no value · model 65.0%
Double chance
X2 2.66 market consensus · no value · model 35.0%
12 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 80.0%
1X 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 85.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.60 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · no value · model 35.2%
Under 2.5 2.57 market consensus · weak value +66.5% · model 64.8%
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.45 69.0% 1.53 65.4% 1.40 71.4%
X 4.50 22.2% 5.00 20.0% 4.98 20.1% 5.00 20.0% 4.85 20.6% 4.75 21.1%
5.50 18.2% 6.10 16.4% 6.66 15.0% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.38 42.0% 2.17 46.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.28 43.9%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.70 58.8% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 2.50 40.0% 2.77 36.1% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.63 38.0%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.14 87.7% — 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.75 — — 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.5 1.45 69.0% — —
Over 3.0 — 1.86 53.8% —
Over 3.25 — 2.07 48.3% —
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6% — —
Over 4.5 3.55 28.2% — —
Over 5.5 6.50 15.4% — —
Under 1.5 5.50 18.2% — —
Under 2.5 2.70 37.0% — —
Under 3.0 — 2.04 49.0% —
Under 3.25 — 1.83 54.6% —
Under 3.5 1.70 58.8% — —
Under 4.5 1.28 78.1% — —
Under 5.5 1.10 90.9% — —
Match center
RB Leipzig
Founded 2009
Borussia Monchengladbach
Founded 1900
Match center
RB Leipzig
PG P. Gulácsi Knee Injury
LZ L. Zingerle Wrist Injury
Borussia Monchengladbach
RH R. Hack Muscle Injury
TK T. Kleindienst Knee Injury
RB Leipzig Founded: 2009
Borussia Monchengladbach Founded: 1900
Match center
RB Leipzig
W W L W W
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
20.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 5:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
15.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
01.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Borussia Monchengladbach
D D W L W
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 2:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 3:3 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
13.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 2:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
06.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:4 BavariyaBavariya
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - Borussia Monchengladbach

RB Leipzig
1 matches total
Borussia Monchengladbach
RB Leipzig: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Borussia Monchengladbach: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (28.11 19:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
0:0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Match center
? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.