Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
28.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - FC Augsburg

Germany Futbol
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
4 : 0
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - FC Augsburg 28 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 4.94 / 2 6.38
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 65.1% / X 19.7% / FC Augsburg 15.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 65.1%
X 19.6%
2 15.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

RB Leipzig - FC Augsburg

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.38 market consensus · line only
X 4.94 market consensus · line only
1 1.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.49 67.1%
Х 4.94 20.2%
П2 6.38 15.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.79 35.8%
home_away 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.15 87.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.26 44.3%
ТМ 3.5 1.70 58.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.19 84.0%
П2 5.14 19.5%
Match center
RB Leipzig
D D
22.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
2 Points
FC Augsburg
L W L
20.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 MayntsMaynts
15.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
01.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.7 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - FC Augsburg

RB Leipzig
0 matches total
FC Augsburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history