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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
33-й тур 09.05.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
09.05.2026 13:30 UTC 33-й тур
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - FC St. Pauli

Germany Futbol
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
2 : 1
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - FC St. Pauli 9 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.66 / 2 9.00
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 72.6% / X 16.8% / FC St. Pauli 10.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 72.6%
X 16.8%
2 10.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5 66.0%
Under 2.5 34.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Лейпциг (Лейпциг, Германия), 47 800 зрителей (102% при вместимости 47 069)
Referee Беньямин Бранд (Герольцхофен, Германия)
Start 09.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

RB Leipzig - FC St. Pauli

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи РБ Лейпциг - Санкт-Паули, 9 мая 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Германии по футболу (Бундеслига) 2025/2026, 33-й тур. РБ Лейпциг - Санкт-Паули, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.93 market consensus · line only
X 6.18 market consensus · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 3.43 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.80 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5%
Х 5.20 19.2% 6.10 16.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7% 5.50 18.2%
П2 8.40 11.9% 9.95 10.1% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1% 9.50 10.5% 9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.25 30.8% 3.64 27.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 — 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 — 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.13 88.5% 1.09 91.7%
ТБ 1.75 — 1.11 90.1%
ТБ 2.0 — 1.14 87.7%
ТБ 2.25 — 1.28 78.1%
ТБ 2.5 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4%
ТБ 2.75 — 1.51 66.2%
ТБ 3.5 2.10 47.6% —
ТБ 4.5 3.45 29.0% —
ТБ 5.5 6.25 16.0% —
ТМ 1.5 5.75 17.4% —
ТМ 2.5 2.75 36.4% —
ТМ 3.5 1.73 57.8% —
ТМ 4.5 1.30 76.9% —
ТМ 5.5 1.11 90.1% —
Match center
RB Leipzig

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

FC St. Pauli

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Вигго Гебель Леопольд Цингерле Эзехил Банзюзи Сулейман Сани Травмированные Матиас Перейра Лаж Рики-Джейд Джонс Зимон Шпари Манолис Салиакас
Match center
RB Leipzig
L W W W W
02.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:4 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
24.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
18.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
FC St. Pauli
L L D L D
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 MayntsMaynts
25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
17.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
11.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:5 BavariyaBavariya
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - FC St. Pauli

RB Leipzig
2 matches total
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (100%)
FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 27.01 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.01 19:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
1:1
FC St. Pauli
22.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
0:0
FC St. Pauli
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 RB Leipzig
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig Team comparison FC St. Pauli
32 Игры 32
19 Победы 6
5 Ничьи 8
8 Поражения 18
63 Забито 27
42 Пропущено 55
62 Очки 26
103.47 Атаки 97.77
50.77 Опасные атаки 43
0 Голевые моменты 0
15.44 Удары по воротам 10.06
6.06 Удары в створ 3.28
ия 0.06 Голы Ксавер Шлагер Кристоф Баумгартнер 1:0 45' Вилли Орбан Давид Раум 2:0 54' Абдули Сисей Джексон Ирвайн 2:1 86' Наказания Кастелло Люкеба 19' Кристоф Баумгартнер 50'

РБ Лейпциг Санкт-Паули 32 Игры 32 19 Победы 6 5 Ничьи 8 8 Поражения 18 63 Забито 27 42 Пропущено 55 62 Очки 26 103.47 Атаки 97.77 50.77 Опасные атаки 43 0 Голевые моменты 0 15.44 Удары по воротам 10.06 6.06 Удары в створ 3.28 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 5.44 Угловые 4.63 1.41 Оффсайды 1.94 9.44 Фолы 9.72 53.44 % владения мячом 44.66 1.53 Предупреждения 1.59 0 Удаления 0.06 Голы Ксавер Шлагер Кристоф Баумгартнер 1:0 45' Вилли Орбан Давид Раум 2:0 54' Абдули Сисей Джексон Ирвайн 2:1 86' Наказания Кастелло Люкеба 19' Кристоф Баумгартнер 50'