Match center
Start
31.01.2026 14:30 UTC
31.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig - FSV Mainz 05
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction RB Leipzig - FSV Mainz 05 31 января 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.
Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / X 4.31 / 2 5.24
- 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 59.6% / X 22.2% / FSV Mainz 05 18.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
59.6%
X
22.1%
2
18.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5
60.2%
Under 2.5
39.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
RB Leipzig - FSV Mainz 05
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.25
market consensus · line only
X
4.32
market consensus · line only
1
1.60
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.36
market consensus · line only
12
1.22
market consensus · line only
1X
1.17
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.36
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.88
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.72
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.05
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.58
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.39
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.20
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.63
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.61 62.1% |
| Х | 4.44 22.5% |
| П2 | 5.37 18.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.67 59.9% |
| Х | 4.20 23.8% | 4.45 22.5% | 4.57 21.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.35 23.0% |
| П2 | 5.10 19.6% | 5.60 17.9% | 5.63 17.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.10 19.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.20 45.5% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.28 43.9% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.68 59.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.35 42.6% | 2.46 40.7% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.40 41.7% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.19 84.0% |
Match center
RB Leipzig
D
W
L
W
L
27.01 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
1:1
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
24.01 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
3:0
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
17.01 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
1:5
Bavariya
Bavariya
14.01 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
2:0
Frayburg
Frayburg
20.12 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
1:3
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
7
Points
FSV Mainz 05
W
L
W
D
D
24.01 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
3:1
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
17.01 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
1:2
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
13.01 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
2:1
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
10.01 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
2:2
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
21.12 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
0:0
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
2
matches total
RB Leipzig: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
RB Leipzig 2:0 (19.10 13:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (2:0, 19.10 13:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
13.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
1:0
Maynts
19.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
2:0
Maynts