Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
26.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - SC Freiburg

Germany Football
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3 : 1
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - SC Freiburg October 26, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.99 / 2 4.21
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 52.6% / X 24.4% / SC Freiburg 23.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 52.5%
X 24.4%
2 23.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 57.1%
Under 2.5 42.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 26.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

RB Leipzig - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.21 market consensus · line only
X 3.99 market consensus · line only
1 1.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.85 54.1%
X 3.99 25.1%
4.21 23.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.05 48.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.26 79.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 2.5 2.26 44.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.39 71.9%
3.18 31.5%
Match center
RB Leipzig
W W W D D
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:0 MayntsMaynts
06.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
22.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.0 Conceded
11 Points
SC Freiburg
W W L W W
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:3 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - SC Freiburg

RB Leipzig
0 matches total
SC Freiburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history