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Bundesliga Germany

14.01.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

14.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig - SC Freiburg

Germany Football

RB Leipzig

2 : 0

Finished

SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - SC Freiburg January 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.79 / 2 4.37
1X2 market: RB Leipzig 53.0% / X 25.2% / SC Freiburg 21.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 53.0%

X 25.2%

2 21.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%

Over 2.5 55.7%

Under 2.5 44.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

RB Leipzig - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.39 market consensus · line only

X 3.79 market consensus · line only

1 1.80 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.04 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.22 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.05 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.57 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.09 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.90 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.19 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.83 54.6%
X	3.74 26.7%
	4.59 21.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.79 55.9%	1.82 55.0%	1.86 53.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.75 57.1%
X	3.75 26.7%	3.80 26.3%	3.94 25.4%	3.90 25.6%	3.85 26.0%	3.75 26.7%
	4.30 23.3%	4.35 23.0%	4.47 22.4%	4.33 23.1%	4.45 22.5%	4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	2.25 44.4%	2.21 45.3%	2.17 46.1%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.14 46.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.20 45.5%
yes	1.60 62.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.63 61.4%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.60 62.5%	1.63 61.4%	1.67 59.9%	1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%	2.07 48.3%	2.06 48.5%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%
home_draw	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.23 81.3%