Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
14.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - Union Berlin

Germany Futbol
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
0 : 0
Finished
Union Berlin
Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.90 / 2 6.83
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 66.0% / X 19.8% / Union Berlin 14.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 66.0%
X 19.8%
2 14.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 60.6%
Under 2.5 39.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

RB Leipzig - Union Berlin

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.83 market consensus · line only
X 4.90 market consensus · line only
1 1.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.47 68.0%
Х 4.90 20.4%
П2 6.83 14.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.88 34.7%
home_away 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.60 62.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.46 40.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.18 84.8%
П2 5.45 18.4%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
0 matches total
Union Berlin
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history