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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
17.05.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
17.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
2 : 3
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - VfB Stuttgart May 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 4.32 / 2 3.19
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 47.0% / X 22.5% / VfB Stuttgart 30.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 47.0%
X 22.5%
2 30.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

RB Leipzig - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.19 market consensus · line only
X 4.32 market consensus · line only
1 2.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.83 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.07 48.3%
X 4.32 23.2%
3.19 31.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.71 58.5%
Under 3.5 2.22 45.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.60 62.5%
2.46 40.7%
Match center
RB Leipzig
D D L D W
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:3 BavariyaBavariya
26.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:4 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
11.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
VfB Stuttgart
W W L D L
11.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
25.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 0:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
19.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:4 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
13.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - VfB Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
0 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history