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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
01.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

RB Leipzig - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3 : 1
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - VfB Stuttgart November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.05 / X 3.92 / 2 3.38
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 46.9% / X 24.6% / VfB Stuttgart 28.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 47.0%
X 24.6%
2 28.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 65.3%
Under 2.5 34.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

RB Leipzig - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.39 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 2.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.43 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.10 47.6%
X 3.85 26.0%
3.43 29.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.08 48.1% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.12 24.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.05 24.7% 3.85 26.0% 3.85 26.0%
3.25 30.8% 3.48 28.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.42 29.2% 3.43 29.2% 3.43 29.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.92 34.3% 2.77 36.1% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.95 33.9% 2.70 37.0%
yes 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
RB Leipzig
W W D W W
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 6:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
20.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
VfB Stuttgart
W W W W W
26.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:1 MayntsMaynts
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
28.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
19.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - VfB Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
1 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
VfB Stuttgart: 1 (100%)
Biggest win VfB Stuttgart 2:3 (17.05 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 17.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
2:3
VfB Stuttgart