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Bundesliga Germany

23.11.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction

23.11.2025 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen

Germany Football

RB Leipzig

2 : 0

Finished

Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen November 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 5.00 / 2 5.89
1X2 market: RB Leipzig 64.7% / X 19.1% / Werder Bremen 16.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 70.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 64.8%

X 19.0%

2 16.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%

Over 2.5 70.2%

Under 2.5 29.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.11.2025 14:30 UTC

Match center

RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.90 market consensus · line only

X 5.00 market consensus · line only

1 1.47 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.69 market consensus · line only

12 1.18 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.67 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.17 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.75 market consensus · line only

2 +1 10.00 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.34 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.15 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.59 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.50 66.7%
X	5.02 19.9%
	6.12 16.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.47 68.0%	1.48 67.6%	1.51 66.2%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.53 65.4%
X	5.00 20.0%	5.30 18.9%	5.26 19.0%	4.80 20.8%	5.00 20.0%	5.20 19.2%
	5.60 17.9%	5.70 17.5%	6.13 16.3%	5.50 18.2%	6.00 16.7%	5.70 17.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.55 39.2%	2.65 37.7%	2.53 39.5%	2.63 38.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.57 38.9%	2.63 38.0%	2.49 40.2%	2.80 35.7%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.49 67.1%	1.47 68.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.62 38.2%	2.75 36.4%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.62 38.2%	2.74 36.5%
home_away	1.13 88.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%
home_draw	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.15 87.0%