Bundesliga Germany

19.04.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction Prediction

19.04.2026 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

SC Freiburg - 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany Futbol

Stadium Европа-парк Штадион

SC Freiburg

2 : 1

Finished

1. FC Heidenheim

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 SC Freiburg — 56%

1 · SC Freiburg ✓ Прогноз55.6%

X · draw23.6%

2 · 1. FC Heidenheim20.8%

Model estimate: win SC Freiburg 55.6%, draw 23.6%, win 1. FC Heidenheim 20.8%. Model favourite — SC Freiburg.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - 1. FC Heidenheim 19 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Strongest: SC Freiburg - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 4.04 / 2 4.66
1X2 market: SC Freiburg 56.0% / X 23.5% / 1. FC Heidenheim 20.4%
Glicko: SC Freiburg 55.6% / X 23.6% / 1. FC Heidenheim 20.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 35.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 ✓ Прогноз 56.0%

X 23.6%

2 20.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%

Over 2.5 58.7%

Under 2.5 41.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 56.6%

Total ТМ 2.5

Score 1:0

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

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Match center

Start 19.04.2026 13:30 UTC

Stadium Европа-парк Штадион (Фрайбург)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model SC Freiburg 56%

💹 Market SC Freiburg 5603%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

SC Freiburg - 1. FC Heidenheim

SC Freiburg: Победа 1.65 SC Freiburg: Ничья 3.80 1. FC Heidenheim Победа: 4.10 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.62 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 2.30 Индивидуальный тотал голов SC Freiburg больше 1.5: 1.62 Индивидуальный тотал голов SC Freiburg меньше 1.5: 2.20 Индивидуальный тот…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:1

Events 13

Statistics 24

Lineups 39

min Event Player Team

24' 24' Normal Goal | Johan Manzambi SC Freiburg

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Julian Niehues | assist/sub out: Budu Zivzivadze 1. FC Heidenheim

58' 58' Normal Goal | Budu Zivzivadze | assist/sub out: Mathias Honsak 1. FC Heidenheim

68' 68' Substitution 1 | Igor Matanović | assist/sub out: Yuito Suzuki SC Freiburg

68' 68' Substitution 2 | Derry Scherhant | assist/sub out: Jan-Niklas Beste SC Freiburg

68' 68' Substitution 3 | Johan Manzambi | assist/sub out: Nicolas Höfler SC Freiburg

70' 70' Yellow Card | Nicolas Höfler SC Freiburg

72' 72' Substitution 2 | Arijon Ibrahimović | assist/sub out: Christian Joe Conteh 1. FC Heidenheim

Metric SC Freiburg 1. FC Heidenheim SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.62 1.58 final

Заблокированные удары 6 4 final

Удары мимо 7 7 final

Удары в створ 4 2 final

Удары всего 17 13 final

Фолы совершено 10 9 final

Желтые карточки 1 0 final

Офсайды 1 1 final

SC Freiburg #1 N. Atubolu, #7 D. Scherhant, #8 M. Eggestein, #9 L. Holer, #17 L. Kubler, #28 M. Ginter, #30 C. Gunter, #31 Igor Matanović, #32 V. Grifo, #43 B. Ogbus, #44 J. Manzambi

1. FC Heidenheim #2 M. Busch, #3 J. Schöppner, #6 P. Mainka, #16 J. Niehues, #17 M. Honsak, #18 M. Pieringer, #19 J. Föhrenbach, #22 A. Ibrahimović, #26 Hennes Behrens, #30 N. Dorsch, #41 D. Ramaj

Player Team Metric SStats

B. Ogbus SC Freiburg Дриблинг попытки 7

B. Ogbus SC Freiburg Дриблинг успешно 1

B. Ogbus SC Freiburg Единоборства всего 1

B. Ogbus SC Freiburg Единоборства выиграно 11

B. Ogbus SC Freiburg Сейвы 0

B. Ogbus SC Freiburg football.player.minutes_played 92

B. Ogbus SC Freiburg Ключевые пасы 38

B. Ogbus SC Freiburg Рейтинг (старый) 7.2

B. Ogbus SC Freiburg Блоки 4

B. Ogbus SC Freiburg Перехваты 2

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

SC Freiburg 57.2% 55.6% market and model agree

Draw 23.2% 23.6% draw risk

1. FC Heidenheim 19.6% 20.8%

xG - 1.74 : 0.96

Total 2.5 Over 35.2% - Under 64.8%

Model check - - Difference 0.02

Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 55.6% / 23.6% / 20.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,508 / 1,360 SC Freiburg / 1. FC Heidenheim

RD 75 / 79 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.66 market consensus · no value · model 20.8%

X 4.04 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.70 market consensus · no value · model 55.6%

Double chance

X2 2.15 market consensus · no value · model 44.4%

12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 76.4%

1X 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 79.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.19 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.68 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.30 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.10 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · no value · model 35.2%

Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · value +48.4% · model 64.8%

Both teams to score

No 2.23 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	1.70 58.8%	1.64 61.0%	1.75 57.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%
Х	3.90 25.6%	4.25 23.5%	4.21 23.8%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.15 24.1%
П2	4.45 22.5%	5.10 19.6%	4.82 20.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%	4.70 21.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.25 44.4%	2.11 47.4%	2.24 44.6%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.21 45.3%
yes	1.60 62.5%	1.74 57.5%	1.59 62.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.04 96.2%	—	1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.0	—	—	1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25	—	—	1.06 94.3%
ТБ 1.5	1.20 83.3%	—	1.14 87.7%
ТБ 2.5	1.62 61.7%	—	—
ТБ 2.75	—	1.90 52.6%	—
ТБ 3.5	2.55 39.2%	—	—
ТБ 4.5	4.50 22.2%	—	—
ТБ 5.5	8.00 12.5%	—	—
ТМ 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—	—
ТМ 1.5	4.33 23.1%	—	—
ТМ 2.5	2.25 44.4%	—	—
ТМ 2.75	—	2.00 50.0%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.50 66.7%	—	—
ТМ 4.5	1.20 83.3%	—	—
ТМ 5.5	1.07 93.5%	—	—

Match center

SC Freiburg

Founded 1904

1. FC Heidenheim

Founded 1946

Match center

SC Freiburg

W L W L D

12.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:0 Maynts

04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 2:3 Bavariya

22.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 2:1 FC St. Pauli

15.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 0:1 Union Berlin

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 3:3 Bayer Leverkusen

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

7 Points

1. FC Heidenheim

W D D L L

11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 3:1 Union Berlin

04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 2:2 Borussia Mönchengladbach

21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 3:3 Bayer Leverkusen

14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 2:4 1899 Hoffenheim

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

2.0 Scored

2.2 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - 1. FC Heidenheim

SC Freiburg

2 matches total

1. FC Heidenheim

SC Freiburg: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

1. FC Heidenheim: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Frayburg 3:0 (21.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 06.12 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.12 14:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Frayburg

1:2

1. FC Heidenheim

21.09 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Frayburg

3:0

1. FC Heidenheim

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.