Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
04.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

SC Freiburg - Bayern München

Germany Futbol
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
2 : 3
Finished
Bayern München
Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Bayern München 4 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.70 / X 4.90 / 2 1.48
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 16.7% / X 19.4% / Bayern München 63.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 16.6%
X 19.3%
2 64.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 66.2%
Under 2.5 33.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

SC Freiburg - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.48 market consensus · line only
X 4.90 market consensus · line only
1 5.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 2.60 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.78 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.37 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 5.80 17.2% 5.30 18.9% 5.86 17.1% 5.50 18.2% 5.25 19.1% 5.60 17.9%
Х 4.90 20.4% 4.85 20.6% 5.00 20.0% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 4.90 20.4%
П2 1.44 69.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.40 41.7% 2.34 42.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.27 44.1%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.13 88.5%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.40 41.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9%
ТБ 1.75 1.12 89.3%
ТБ 2.5 1.38 72.5%
ТБ 3.25 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 3.5 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 4.5 3.25 30.8%
ТБ 5.5 5.75 17.4%
ТМ 1.5 6.25 16.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.95 33.9%
ТМ 3.25 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 4.5 1.33 75.2%
ТМ 5.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
SC Freiburg
W L D L W
22.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
15.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:3 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
01.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
22.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Bayern München
W D W W W
21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 4:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
06.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 4:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
28.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - Bayern München

SC Freiburg
2 matches total
Bayern München
SC Freiburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bayern München: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Bavariya 2:6 (22.11 14:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 8 goals (2:6, 22.11 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Frayburg
2:6
Bavariya
01.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Frayburg
0:2
Bavariya