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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
05.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

SC Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Football
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1 : 4
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund April 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.27 / X 3.65 / 2 2.20
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 29.6% / X 26.5% / Borussia Dortmund 43.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 29.6%
X 26.5%
2 43.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 54.4%
Under 2.5 45.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

SC Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 market consensus · line only
X 3.65 market consensus · line only
1 3.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.27 30.6%
X 3.65 27.4%
2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.37 73.0%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.72 58.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.78 56.2%
Under 2.5 2.12 47.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.39 41.8%
1.61 62.1%
Match center
SC Freiburg
L W W L W
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:3 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Borussia Dortmund
L W L W L
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
18.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
27.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 4:2 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
22.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:5 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
6 Points