Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
19.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

SC Freiburg - FC Augsburg

Germany Futbol
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
3 : 1
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - FC Augsburg 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.64 / X 4.10 / 2 5.57
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 59.0% / X 23.6% / FC Augsburg 17.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 59.0%
X 23.6%
2 17.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 58.1%
Under 2.5 41.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

SC Freiburg - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.57 market consensus · line only
X 4.10 market consensus · line only
1 1.64 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.64 61.0%
Х 4.10 24.4%
П2 5.57 18.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.37 42.2%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.18 84.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.67 59.9%
ТМ 2.5 2.32 43.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.26 79.4%
П2 4.21 23.8%
Match center
SC Freiburg
W L W W L
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:3 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
01.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:2 BavariyaBavariya
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
FC Augsburg
W L L W L
04.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
20.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 MayntsMaynts
15.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
01.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - FC Augsburg

SC Freiburg
0 matches total
FC Augsburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history