Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
23.08.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

SC Freiburg - FC Augsburg

Germany Futbol
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1 : 3
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - FC Augsburg 23 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 3.56 / 2 4.08
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 50.0% / X 26.7% / FC Augsburg 23.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 50.0%
X 26.7%
2 23.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

SC Freiburg - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.08 market consensus · line only
X 3.57 market consensus · line only
1 1.90 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.91 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.02 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.93 51.8%
Х 3.68 27.2%
П2 4.18 23.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
Х 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4%
П2 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.24 23.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.97 50.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4%
Match center
SC Freiburg
L W D W W
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
04.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
FC Augsburg
L L L L D
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
11.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
04.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:3 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
20.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - FC Augsburg

SC Freiburg
1 matches total
FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Augsburg: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Frayburg 3:1 (19.10 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 19.10 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Frayburg
3:1
FC Augsburg