Match center
Start
28.09.2024 13:30 UTC
28.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg - FC St. Pauli
0
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction SC Freiburg - FC St. Pauli 28 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.
Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.19 / 2 6.29
- 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 61.4% / X 23.2% / FC St. Pauli 15.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.1%
1
61.4%
X
23.2%
2
15.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5
54.8%
Under 2.5
45.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
SC Freiburg - FC St. Pauli
Form
3/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.29
market consensus · line only
X
4.19
market consensus · line only
1
1.58
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.56
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.13
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Х | 4.19 23.9% |
| П2 | 6.29 15.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.56 39.1% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.13 88.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.21 82.6% |
| П2 | 4.82 20.8% |
Match center
SC Freiburg
W
W
L
21.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
3:0
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
14.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
2:1
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
01.09 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
0:2
Bavariya
Bavariya
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.7
Scored
1.0
Conceded
6
Points
FC St. Pauli
D
L
22.09 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:0
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
15.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:3
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals