Match center
Start
09.11.2025 14:30 UTC
09.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg - FC St. Pauli
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction SC Freiburg - FC St. Pauli 9 ноября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.
Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 3.56 / 2 4.62
- 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 52.5% / X 26.8% / FC St. Pauli 20.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
52.5%
X
26.8%
2
20.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
46.0%
Under 2.5
54.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
SC Freiburg - FC St. Pauli
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.62
market consensus · line only
X
3.56
market consensus · line only
1
1.82
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.01
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.21
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.05
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.54
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.45
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.95
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.08
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.84
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.92
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Х | 3.64 27.5% |
| П2 | 4.70 21.3% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Х | 3.45 29.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.76 26.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% |
| П2 | 4.60 21.7% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.72 21.2% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.80 20.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.88 53.2% |
| yes | 1.91 52.4% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.89 52.9% | 2.00 50.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.06 48.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% |
Match center
SC Freiburg
D
L
D
D
D
01.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
0:0
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
26.10 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
0:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
19.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
2:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
05.10 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
0:0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
28.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
1:1
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
0
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
FC St. Pauli
L
L
L
L
L
01.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
25.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.10 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:3
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
04.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:1
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
27.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
0.2
Scored
2.4
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
matches total
SC Freiburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC St. Pauli: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
FC St. Pauli 0:3 (28.09 13:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (0:3, 28.09 13:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
28.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Frayburg
0:3
FC St. Pauli