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Start
30.11.2025 18:30 UTC
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30.11.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg - FSV Mainz 05
4
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction SC Freiburg - FSV Mainz 05 November 30, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.
Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.76 / X 3.70 / 2 4.68
- 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 54.0% / X 25.7% / FSV Mainz 05 20.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
54.0%
X
25.7%
2
20.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
SC Freiburg - FSV Mainz 05
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.70
market consensus · line only
X
3.70
market consensus · line only
1
1.76
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.08
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.20
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.11
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.63
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.11
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.88
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.07
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.10
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.70
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| X | 3.78 26.5% |
| 4.99 20.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.74 57.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.88 25.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.65 27.4% |
| 4.55 22.0% | 4.80 20.8% | 4.66 21.5% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.90 20.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.21 45.3% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.05 48.8% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.12 47.2% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% |
Match center
SC Freiburg
L
W
D
L
D
22.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
2:6
Bavariya
Bavariya
09.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
2:1
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
01.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
0:0
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
26.10 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
0:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
19.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
2:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
2.2
Conceded
5
Points
FSV Mainz 05
D
L
D
L
L
21.11 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
1:1
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
09.11 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
0:1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
01.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
1:1
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
26.10 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
1:2
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
18.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
3:4
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.8
Conceded
2
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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