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Bundesliga Germany

10.01.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

10.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

SC Freiburg - Hamburger SV

Germany Football

SC Freiburg

2 : 1

Finished

Hamburger SV

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Hamburger SV January 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.62 / 2 4.98
1X2 market: SC Freiburg 54.1% / X 26.6% / Hamburger SV 19.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%

1 54.1%

X 26.6%

2 19.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%

Over 2.5 49.9%

Under 2.5 50.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 10.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

SC Freiburg - Hamburger SV

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.00 market consensus · line only

X 3.63 market consensus · line only

1 1.78 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.08 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.20 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.60 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.71 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.60 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.96 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.78 56.2%
X	3.70 27.0%
	5.08 19.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.76 56.8%	1.83 54.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.78 56.2%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.70 27.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.65 27.4%	3.70 27.0%	3.70 27.0%
	5.00 20.0%	5.03 19.9%	5.25 19.1%	4.95 20.2%	5.08 19.7%	5.08 19.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.99 50.3%	1.92 52.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.90 52.6%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.86 53.8%	1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	2.09 47.9%	2.00 50.0%	2.11 47.4%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.00 50.0%
home_away	1.32 75.8%	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.32 75.8%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%	1.21 82.6%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%