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Bundesliga Germany

15.03.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

15.03.2026 16:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

SC Freiburg - Union Berlin

Germany Football

SC Freiburg

0 : 1

Finished

Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Union Berlin March 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.19 / X 3.29 / 2 3.44
1X2 market: SC Freiburg 43.5% / X 28.9% / Union Berlin 27.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 43.4%

X 28.9%

2 27.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 46.2%

Under 2.5 53.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.03.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

SC Freiburg - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.44 market consensus · line only

X 3.30 market consensus · line only

1 2.19 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.69 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.32 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.37 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.40 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.95 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.24 44.6%
X	3.38 29.6%
	3.51 28.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.26 44.3%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%
X	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.44 29.1%	3.10 32.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.25 30.8%
	3.25 30.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.56 28.1%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.00 50.0%	2.04 49.0%	1.92 52.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.90 52.6%	2.03 49.3%
yes	1.77 56.5%	1.78 56.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.62 61.7%	1.72 58.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.32 75.8%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.29 77.5%

Match center

SC Freiburg

D L W L W

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 3:3 Bayer Leverkusen

01.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 0:2 Eintracht Frankfurt

22.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 2:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 0:3 1899 Hoffenheim

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:0 Werder Bremen

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

Union Berlin

L L W L D

08.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:4 Werder Bremen

28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:0 Bayer Leverkusen

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:3 Hamburger SV

06.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - Union Berlin

SC Freiburg

1 matches total

Union Berlin

SC Freiburg: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Union Berlin: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (01.11 14:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.11 14:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Frayburg

0:0

Union Berlin