Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
14.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

SC Freiburg - VfL Bochum

Germany Futbol
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
2 : 1
Finished
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Freiburg - VfL Bochum 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.41 / 2 5.78
  • 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 61.3% / X 22.0% / VfL Bochum 16.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 61.3%
X 22.0%
2 16.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 59.8%
Under 2.5 40.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

SC Freiburg - VfL Bochum

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.78 market consensus · line only
X 4.41 market consensus · line only
1 1.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.58 63.3%
Х 4.41 22.7%
П2 5.78 17.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.52 39.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.62 61.7%
ТМ 2.5 2.41 41.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.23 81.3%
П2 4.49 22.3%
Match center
SC Freiburg
L
01.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:2 BavariyaBavariya
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - VfL Bochum

SC Freiburg
0 matches total
VfL Bochum
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history