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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
10.05.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Union Berlin - 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany Football
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
0 : 3
Finished
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - 1. FC Heidenheim May 10, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.51 / 2 3.31
  • 1X2 market: Union Berlin 43.2% / X 27.6% / 1. FC Heidenheim 29.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 43.2%
X 27.6%
2 29.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

Union Berlin - 1. FC Heidenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.31 market consensus · line only
X 3.51 market consensus · line only
1 2.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.24 44.6%
X 3.51 28.5%
3.31 30.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.70 58.8%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 2.5 1.94 51.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.61 62.1%
2.39 41.8%
Match center
Union Berlin
D D D D W
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
27.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
19.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 4:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:0 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
06.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
1. FC Heidenheim
D W L L L
02.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
25.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:0 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:4 BavariyaBavariya
13.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points