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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
29.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Union Berlin - 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany Football
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1 : 2
Finished
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - 1. FC Heidenheim November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 3.85 / 2 5.35
  • 1X2 market: Union Berlin 57.5% / X 24.7% / 1. FC Heidenheim 17.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 57.4%
X 24.8%
2 17.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 48.3%
Under 2.5 51.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

Union Berlin - 1. FC Heidenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.85 market consensus · line only
1 1.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.88 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.66 60.2%
X 3.95 25.3%
5.60 17.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3%
5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 5.58 17.9% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.70 17.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.20 45.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Union Berlin
W D D L W
23.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:2 BavariyaBavariya
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:0 FrayburgFrayburg
24.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
17.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 3:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
1. FC Heidenheim
L L D L D
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:6 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
3.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - 1. FC Heidenheim

Union Berlin
1 matches total
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
1. FC Heidenheim: 1 (100%)
Biggest win 1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 (10.05 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 10.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin
0:3
1. FC Heidenheim