Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
21.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Union Berlin - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Futbol
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
2 : 1
Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - 1899 Hoffenheim 21 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.84 / 2 4.28
  • 1X2 market: Union Berlin 52.0% / X 25.3% / 1899 Hoffenheim 22.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 52.0%
X 25.3%
2 22.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

Union Berlin - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.28 market consensus · line only
X 3.84 market consensus · line only
1 1.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.02 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.87 53.5%
Х 3.84 26.0%
П2 4.28 23.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.02 49.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.45 40.8%
ТМ 3.5 1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.39 71.9%
П2 3.19 31.4%
Match center
Union Berlin
D
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
1899 Hoffenheim
L
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:4 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points