Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
13.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Union Berlin - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Futbol
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
2 : 4
Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - 1899 Hoffenheim 13 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.50 / 2 2.55
  • 1X2 market: Union Berlin 35.3% / X 27.3% / 1899 Hoffenheim 37.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 35.3%
X 27.3%
2 37.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 56.8%
Under 2.5 43.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

Union Berlin - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 2.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.70 37.0%
Х 3.50 28.6%
П2 2.55 39.2%

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
П1 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%
Х 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
П2 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Bet365
no 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Union Berlin
L W W L D
31.08 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:3 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
1899 Hoffenheim
L W L D D
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:4 BavariyaBavariya
09.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 4:4 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - 1899 Hoffenheim

Union Berlin
1 matches total
1899 Hoffenheim
Union Berlin: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
1899 Hoffenheim: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Union Berlin 2:1 (21.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 21.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin
2:1
1899 Hoffenheim