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Bundesliga Germany

08.11.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction

08.11.2025 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Union Berlin - Bayern München

Germany Football

Union Berlin

2 : 2

Finished

Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - Bayern München November 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 11.71 / X 6.61 / 2 1.23
1X2 market: Union Berlin 8.2% / X 14.4% / Bayern München 77.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 67.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 8.1%

X 14.4%

2 77.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%

Over 2.5 67.4%

Under 2.5 32.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 08.11.2025 14:30 UTC

Match center

Union Berlin - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.23 market consensus · line only

X 6.64 market consensus · line only

1 10.00 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.05 market consensus · line only

12 1.12 market consensus · line only

1X 4.21 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.05 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.34 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.89 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.89 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	12.01 8.3%
X	6.95 14.4%
	1.22 82.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	10.25 9.8%	11.50 8.7%	12.60 7.9%	10.00 10.0%	12.00 8.3%	14.00 7.1%
X	6.60 15.2%	7.00 14.3%	6.83 14.6%	6.00 16.7%	6.25 16.0%	6.70 14.9%
	1.23 81.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.24 80.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.83 54.6%	1.94 51.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.92 52.1%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.05 95.2%	1.04 96.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.04 96.2%
home_away	1.11 90.1%	1.14 87.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.11 90.1%	1.12 89.3%	1.12 89.3%
home_draw	4.00 25.0%	4.24 23.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.40 22.7%	4.25 23.5%

Match center

Union Berlin

D L W L D

01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:0 Frayburg

24.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:1 Werder Bremen

17.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 3:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:2 Bayer Leverkusen

28.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:0 Hamburger SV

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.6 Scored

0.8 Conceded

5 Points

Bayern München

W W W W W

01.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Bayer Leverkusen

25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

18.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:1 Borussia Dortmund

04.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Eintracht Frankfurt

26.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 4:0 Werder Bremen

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

0.2 Conceded

15 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - Bayern München

Union Berlin

0 matches total

Bayern München

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Union Berlin - Bayern München

AI match prediction Union Berlin - Bayern München November 8, 2025

Fair probability (no margin)

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Union Berlin - Bayern München

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history