Match center
Start
05.10.2024 13:30 UTC
05.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 5 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.
Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / X 3.60 / 2 2.05
- 1X2 market: Union Berlin 25.6% / X 27.0% / Borussia Dortmund 47.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.9%
1
25.6%
X
27.0%
2
47.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.05
market consensus · line only
X
3.60
market consensus · line only
1
3.80
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.30
market consensus · line only
12
1.33
market consensus · line only
1X
1.85
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.81
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.80 26.3% |
| Х | 3.60 27.8% |
| П2 | 2.05 48.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.85 54.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.81 55.3% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.76 36.2% |
| П2 | 1.49 67.1% |
Match center
Union Berlin
L
W
D
28.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
0:1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
21.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
2:1
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
14.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
0:0
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.7
Scored
0.7
Conceded
4
Points
Borussia Dortmund
W
L
W
27.09 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
4:2
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
22.09 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
1:5
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
13.09 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
4:2
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals