Match center
Start
24.01.2026 17:30 UTC
24.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund
0
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 24 января 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.
Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.28 / X 3.20 / 2 2.30
- 1X2 market: Union Berlin 29.0% / X 29.7% / Borussia Dortmund 41.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
29.0%
X
29.7%
2
41.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
44.4%
Under 2.5
55.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.30
market consensus · line only
X
3.21
market consensus · line only
1
3.28
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.34
market consensus · line only
12
1.35
market consensus · line only
1X
1.64
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.35
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.10
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.23
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.68
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.72
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.92
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.85
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.36 29.8% |
| Х | 3.27 30.6% |
| П2 | 2.36 42.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.15 31.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.39 29.5% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% |
| Х | 3.15 31.8% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.31 30.2% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.15 31.8% |
| П2 | 2.28 43.9% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.93 51.8% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.98 50.5% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.89 52.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.35 74.1% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.60 62.5% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.64 61.0% |
Match center
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RB Leipzig
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2
Wins
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Draws
0
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
9
Points
Borussia Dortmund
W
W
D
W
D
17.01 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
3:2
FC St. Pauli
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13.01 19:30 UTC
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3:0
Werder Bremen
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09.01 19:30 UTC
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Borussia Dortmund
3:3
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.12 19:30 UTC
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Borussia Dortmund
2:0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
14.12 14:30 UTC
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Borussia Dortmund
1:1
Frayburg
Frayburg
3
Wins
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Draws
0
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
11
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
2
matches total
Union Berlin: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Borussia Dortmund: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Borussia Dortmund 0:3 (31.08 15:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (0:3, 31.08 15:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
31.08 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
0:3
Borussia Dortmund
05.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
2:1
Borussia Dortmund