Bundesliga Germany

17.10.2025 18:30 UTC Match prediction

17.10.2025 18:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Union Berlin - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Futbol

Union Berlin

3 : 1

Finished

Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - Borussia Monchengladbach 17 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.44 / 2 3.13
1X2 market: Union Berlin 42.1% / X 27.6% / Borussia Monchengladbach 30.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%

1 42.1%

X 27.6%

2 30.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%

Over 2.5 52.7%

Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.10.2025 18:30 UTC

Match center

Union Berlin - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.13 market consensus · line only

X 3.45 market consensus · line only

1 2.25 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.65 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.37 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.12 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.67 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.19 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.28 43.9%
Х	3.55 28.2%
П2	3.20 31.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	2.24 44.6%	2.21 45.3%	2.33 42.9%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.27 44.1%
Х	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.64 27.5%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%
П2	3.15 31.8%	3.20 31.3%	3.22 31.1%	3.00 33.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.15 46.5%	2.23 44.8%	2.17 46.1%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.14 46.7%	2.26 44.3%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%	1.63 61.4%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.63 61.4%	1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.62 61.7%	1.68 59.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.68 59.5%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.31 76.3%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.35 74.1%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.38 72.5%	1.40 71.4%

Match center

Union Berlin

L D W L L

04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:2 Bayer Leverkusen

28.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:0 Hamburger SV

21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 4:3 Eintracht Frankfurt

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:4 1899 Hoffenheim

31.08 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:3 Borussia Dortmund

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.4 Conceded

4 Points

Borussia Monchengladbach

D L D L L

05.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach 0:0 Frayburg

27.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach 4:6 Eintracht Frankfurt

21.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 Bayer Leverkusen

14.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach 0:4 Werder Bremen

30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach 0:1 VfB Stuttgart

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.4 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - Borussia Monchengladbach

Union Berlin

1 matches total

Borussia Monchengladbach

Union Berlin: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Borussia Monchengladbach: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:1 (28.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 28.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.09 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Union Berlin

0:1

Borussia Mönchengladbach