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Bundesliga Germany

34 round 16.05.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction

16.05.2026 13:30 UTC 34 round

Finished

Bundesliga

Union Berlin - FC Augsburg

Germany Football

Union Berlin

4 : 0

Finished

FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - FC Augsburg May 16, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.71 / X 3.94 / 2 2.29
1X2 market: Union Berlin 34.9% / X 24.0% / FC Augsburg 41.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 68.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.9%

1 34.8%

X 24.0%

2 41.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%

Over 2.5 68.7%

Under 2.5 31.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium An der Alten Fersteray (Berlin, Germany), 22 012 zriteley (98% pri vmestimosti 22 467)

Referee Patrik Ittrikh (Gamburg)

Start 16.05.2026 13:30 UTC

Match center

Union Berlin - FC Augsburg

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Union - Augsburg, 16 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Germany po futbolu (Bundesliga) 2025/2026, 34 round. Union - Augsburg, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 9.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.09 Fonbet · line only

2 2.29 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.05 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 6.30 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 5.00 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.12 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.15 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 4.50 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.75 36.4%	2.85 35.1%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.75 36.4%	2.70 37.0%
X	3.90 25.6%	4.16 24.0%	3.80 26.3%	4.10 24.4%	4.00 25.0%	3.90 25.6%
	2.22 45.1%	2.36 42.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.13 32.0%	3.04 32.9%	3.10 32.3%
yes	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.42 70.4%	1.48 67.6%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%	1.62 61.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.03 97.1%	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5	1.11 90.1%	1.06 94.3%
Over 1.75	—	1.08 92.6%
Over 2.0	—	1.10 90.9%
Over 2.25	—	1.23 81.3%
Over 2.5	1.38 72.5%	—
Over 3.5	1.93 51.8%	—
Over 4.5	3.10 32.3%	—
Over 5.5	5.50 18.2%	—
Under 0.5	11.00 9.1%	—
Under 1.5	6.25 16.0%	—
Under 2.5	3.00 33.3%	—
Under 3.5	1.85 54.1%	—
Under 4.5	1.36 73.5%	—
Under 5.5	1.14 87.7%	—

Match center

Union Berlin

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

FC Augsburg

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Frederik Rennov Mateo Rab David Proy Travmirovannye Dimitris Yannulis Artur Shaves Diskvalifitsirovannye Derrik Ken CHAMP Kristiyan Yakich CHAMP

Match center

Union Berlin

W D L L L

10.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 3:1 Maynts

02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:2 1. FC Köln

24.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:3 RB Leipzig

18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:2 VfL Wolfsburg

11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:3 1. FC Heidenheim

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.2 Conceded

4 Points

FC Augsburg

W W D W D

09.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 3:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 3:1 Werder Bremen

25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:1 Bayer Leverkusen

10.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:2 1899 Hoffenheim

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - FC Augsburg

Union Berlin

2 matches total

FC Augsburg

Union Berlin: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

FC Augsburg: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Union Berlin 2:1 (17.05 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 17.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (15.01 19:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

15.01 19:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Union Berlin

1:1

FC Augsburg

17.05 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Union Berlin

2:1

FC Augsburg

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Union Berlin

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 FC Augsburg

33 Games 33

9 Wins 12

9 Draws 7

15 Losses 14

40 Scored 45

58 Conceded 57

36 Points 43

95.41 Attacks 89.36

44.5 Dangerous attacks 38.79

0 Big chances 0

11.91 Shots on goal 12.85

3.82 Shots on target 4.67

09 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Andrey Ilich Andrash Shefer 1:0 10' Andrey Ilich Oliver Berk 2:0 42' Andrash Shefer Livan Burdzhu 3:0 54' Chon U En 4:0 89' Nakazaniya Oliver Berk 24' Kristofer Trimmel 27' Khan-Noa Massengo 63' Alesha Kemlyayn 70'

Union Augsburg 33 Games 33 9 Wins 12 9 Draws 7 15 Losses 14 40 Scored 45 58 Conceded 57 36 Points 43 95.41 Attacks 89.36 44.5 Dangerous attacks 38.79 0 Big chances 0 11.91 Shots on goal 12.85 3.82 Udary v stvor 4.67 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.03 Uglovye 4.48 1.64 Offsaydy 2.12.48 Foly 11.06 40.03 % vladeniya myachom 43.64 2.06 Warnings 2.42 0.09 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Andrey Ilich Andrash Shefer 1:0 10' Andrey Ilich Oliver Berk 2:0 42' Andrash Shefer Livan Burdzhu 3:0 54' Chon U En 4:0 89' Nakazaniya Oliver Berk 24' Kristofer Trimmel 27' Khan-Noa Massengo 63' Alesha Kemlyayn 70'