Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
12.12.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Union Berlin - RB Leipzig

Germany Futbol
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
3 : 1
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 12 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.05 / X 3.39 / 2 2.34
  • 1X2 market: Union Berlin 31.2% / X 28.1% / RB Leipzig 40.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 31.2%
X 28.1%
2 40.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 49.9%
Under 2.5 50.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.12.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Union Berlin - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 3.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.61 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.17 31.6%
Х 3.55 28.2%
П2 2.32 43.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.48 28.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6%
П2 2.32 43.1% 2.36 42.4% 2.44 41.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Union Berlin
L L W D D
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
23.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:2 BavariyaBavariya
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:0 FrayburgFrayburg
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
RB Leipzig
W D W L W
06.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 6:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
28.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
23.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
1 matches total
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
RB Leipzig: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (14.09 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin
0:0
RB Leipzig