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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
01.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Union Berlin - SC Freiburg

Germany Football
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
0 : 0
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - SC Freiburg November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.66 / X 3.22 / 2 2.83
  • 1X2 market: Union Berlin 36.1% / X 29.9% / SC Freiburg 34.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 36.2%
X 29.9%
2 34.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 43.5%
Under 2.5 56.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

Union Berlin - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.22 market consensus · line only
1 2.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.79 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.93 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.69 37.2%
X 3.21 31.2%
2.90 34.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.63 38.0% 2.74 36.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.69 37.2% 2.69 37.2% 2.69 37.2%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.22 31.1% 3.21 31.2% 3.21 31.2%
2.85 35.1% 2.89 34.6% 2.70 37.0% 2.82 35.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.97 50.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.51 66.2% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Union Berlin
L W L D W
24.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
17.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 3:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
28.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 4:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
SC Freiburg
L D D D W
26.10 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
05.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion Berlin - SC Freiburg

Union Berlin
0 matches total
SC Freiburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history