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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
06.04.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction
06.04.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Union Berlin - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1 : 0
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Berlin - VfL Wolfsburg April 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Berlin.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.31 / X 3.40 / 2 3.33
  • 1X2 market: Union Berlin 42.1% / X 28.6% / VfL Wolfsburg 29.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 42.1%
X 28.6%
2 29.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5 48.6%
Under 2.5 51.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.04.2025 15:30 UTC
Match center

Union Berlin - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.33 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 2.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.31 43.3%
X 3.40 29.4%
3.33 30.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.68 59.5%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.37 73.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.01 49.8%
Under 2.5 1.90 52.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.63 61.4%
2.38 42.0%
Match center
Union Berlin
D W W L W
27.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
20.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:0 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
D L W D L
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
20.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
22.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:4 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
5 Points