Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
06.10.2024 17:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfB Stuttgart - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Futbol
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1
Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - 1899 Hoffenheim 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 6.25 / 2 8.50
  • 1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 73.0% / X 15.5% / 1899 Hoffenheim 11.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 73.0%
X 15.5%
2 11.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.10.2024 17:30 UTC
Match center

VfB Stuttgart - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 market consensus · line only
X 6.25 market consensus · line only
1 1.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.33 75.2%
Х 6.25 16.0%
П2 8.50 11.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.57 28.0%
home_away 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.11 90.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 4.5 2.70 37.0%
ТМ 4.5 1.48 67.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.12 89.3%
П2 6.91 14.5%
Match center
VfB Stuttgart
D W W
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
22.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 5:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
1899 Hoffenheim
L L L
29.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:4 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
0 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.7 Scored
3.3 Conceded
0 Points