Bundesliga Germany

06.12.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction

06.12.2025 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart - Bayern München

Germany Futbol

VfB Stuttgart

0 : 5

Finished

Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - Bayern München 6 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.26 / X 4.88 / 2 1.52
1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 18.1% / X 19.5% / Bayern München 62.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 71.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 18.1%

X 19.5%

2 62.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%

Over 2.5 71.4%

Under 2.5 28.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 06.12.2025 14:30 UTC

Match center

VfB Stuttgart - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.52 market consensus · line only

X 4.89 market consensus · line only

1 5.27 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.17 market consensus · line only

12 1.18 market consensus · line only

1X 2.53 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.32 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.30 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.74 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	5.34 18.7%
Х	5.00 20.0%
П2	1.54 64.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	5.40 18.5%	5.30 18.9%	5.26 19.0%	5.00 20.0%	5.25 19.1%	5.30 18.9%
Х	4.65 21.5%	5.10 19.6%	5.21 19.2%	4.60 21.7%	4.75 21.1%	5.00 20.0%
П2	1.51 66.2%	1.52 65.8%	1.58 63.3%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.75 36.4%	2.86 35.0%	2.66 37.6%	2.70 37.0%	2.75 36.4%	2.75 36.4%	2.80 35.7%	2.62 38.2%	2.90 34.5%
yes	1.40 71.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.43 69.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.15 87.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.18 84.8%
home_away	1.14 87.7%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.19 84.0%
home_draw	2.45 40.8%	2.55 39.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.52 39.7%	2.53 39.5%