Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
04.04.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfB Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Futbol
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 2
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund 4 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.88 / 2 2.76
  • 1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 41.2% / X 24.5% / Borussia Dortmund 34.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 41.2%
X 24.4%
2 34.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.1%
Over 2.5 65.8%
Under 2.5 34.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

VfB Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.76 market consensus · line only
X 3.88 market consensus · line only
1 2.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.28 43.9% 2.33 42.9% 2.41 41.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2%
Х 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3% 4.04 24.8% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3%
П2 2.72 36.8% 2.77 36.1% 2.84 35.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.85 35.1% 3.05 32.8% 2.81 35.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 3.10 32.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.76 36.2%
yes 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.14 87.7% 1.09 91.7%
ТБ 1.75 1.11 90.1%
ТБ 2.0 1.14 87.7%
ТБ 2.25 1.28 78.1%
ТБ 2.5 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 3.25 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 3.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 4.5 3.45 29.0%
ТБ 5.5 6.25 16.0%
ТМ 1.5 5.50 18.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.70 37.0%
ТМ 3.25 1.98 50.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.70 58.8%
ТМ 4.5 1.30 76.9%
ТМ 5.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
VfB Stuttgart
W W D W D
22.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 5:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
15.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:2 MayntsMaynts
01.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
22.02 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:3 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
11 Points
Borussia Dortmund
W W W L D
21.03 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 3:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
07.03 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
28.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:3 BavariyaBavariya
21.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfB Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund

VfB Stuttgart
2 matches total
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Borussia Dortmund: 0 (0%)
Biggest win VfB Stuttgart 5:1 (22.09 15:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 22.11 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (22.11 14:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

8 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 8

Match history

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
3:3
Borussia Dortmund
22.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
5:1
Borussia Dortmund