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Bundesliga Germany

15.03.2026 18:30 UTC Match prediction

15.03.2026 18:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart - RB Leipzig

Germany Football

VfB Stuttgart

1 : 0

Finished

RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - RB Leipzig March 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.90 / 2 2.59
1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 39.0% / X 24.4% / RB Leipzig 36.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 71.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 39.0%

X 24.3%

2 36.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%

Over 2.5 71.1%

Under 2.5 28.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.03.2026 18:30 UTC

Match center

VfB Stuttgart - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.59 market consensus · line only

X 3.90 market consensus · line only

1 2.43 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.56 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.49 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.80 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.32 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.25 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 3.33 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.49 40.2%
X	4.02 24.9%
	2.65 37.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.54 39.4%	2.45 40.8%	2.40 41.7%	2.45 40.8%
X	3.95 25.3%	4.05 24.7%	4.05 24.7%	3.70 27.0%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%
	2.52 39.7%	2.65 37.7%	2.67 37.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.60 38.5%	2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	3.30 30.3%	3.55 28.2%	3.40 29.4%	3.25 30.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.25 30.8%	3.20 31.3%	3.34 29.9%	3.55 28.2%
yes	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.55 64.5%	1.58 63.3%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.50 66.7%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.50 66.7%	1.54 64.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.44 69.4%

Match center

VfB Stuttgart

D W D W L

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 2:2 Maynts

01.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 4:0 VfL Wolfsburg

22.02 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 3:3 1. FC Heidenheim

14.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 3:1 1. FC Köln

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 1:2 FC St. Pauli

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

2.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

8 Points

RB Leipzig

W W D D W

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:1 FC Augsburg

01.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:1 Hamburger SV

21.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:2 Borussia Dortmund

15.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:2 VfL Wolfsburg

08.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:1 1. FC Köln

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfB Stuttgart - RB Leipzig

VfB Stuttgart

2 matches total

RB Leipzig

VfB Stuttgart: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

RB Leipzig: 1 (50%)

Biggest win RB Leipzig 1:3 (01.11 14:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 17.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 4

Match history

01.11 14:30 UTC

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

1:3

RB Leipzig

17.05 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

3:2

RB Leipzig