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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
13.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
13.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfB Stuttgart - Werder Bremen

Germany Football
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 2
Finished
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - Werder Bremen April 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 4.36 / 2 4.46
  • 1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 55.9% / X 22.3% / Werder Bremen 21.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 55.9%
X 22.3%
2 21.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

VfB Stuttgart - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.46 market consensus · line only
X 4.36 market consensus · line only
1 1.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.74 57.5%
X 4.36 22.9%
4.46 22.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.21 45.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.24 80.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.31 43.3%
Under 3.5 1.67 59.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.34 74.6%
3.46 28.9%
Match center
VfB Stuttgart
W W L D D
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
19.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 0:4 BavariyaBavariya
06.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Werder Bremen
W D W L W
05.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
26.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
20.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 4:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:1 FrayburgFrayburg
29.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 4:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points