Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
05.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Bochum - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Futbol
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1 : 3
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Bochum - VfL Wolfsburg 5 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.14 / X 3.71 / 2 2.27
  • 1X2 market: VfL Bochum 31.0% / X 26.2% / VfL Wolfsburg 42.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 31.0%
X 26.2%
2 42.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 59.1%
Under 2.5 40.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

VfL Bochum - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.27 market consensus · line only
X 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 3.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.41 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.14 31.9%
Х 3.71 27.0%
П2 2.27 44.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.69 59.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.64 61.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.37 42.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.30 43.5%
П2 1.67 59.9%
Match center
VfL Bochum
L D L
27.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Bochum 2:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Bochum 2:2 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Bochum 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.7 Conceded
1 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
D L L
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
22.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:4 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.7 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Bochum - VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Bochum
0 matches total
VfL Wolfsburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history