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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
09.05.2025 18:30 UTC Match prediction
09.05.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 2
Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - 1899 Hoffenheim May 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.73 / X 3.65 / 2 2.59
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 35.7% / X 26.7% / 1899 Hoffenheim 37.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.6%
1 35.7%
X 26.7%
2 37.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2025 18:30 UTC
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.59 market consensus · line only
X 3.65 market consensus · line only
1 2.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.73 36.6%
X 3.65 27.4%
2.59 38.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.52 65.8%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.56 64.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.24 44.6%
Under 3.5 1.72 58.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.98 50.5%
1.89 52.9%
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
L L D L L
03.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 FrayburgFrayburg
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 MayntsMaynts
11.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
06.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
1 Points
1899 Hoffenheim
D L L W L
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 4:4 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 FrayburgFrayburg
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 MayntsMaynts
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
2.2 Scored
2.6 Conceded
4 Points