Bundesliga Germany

22.11.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction

22.11.2025 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Futbol

VfL Wolfsburg

1 : 3

Finished

Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 22 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.50 / X 3.77 / 2 1.99
1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 27.1% / X 25.2% / Bayer Leverkusen 47.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 61.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 27.1%

X 25.2%

2 47.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%

Over 2.5 61.1%

Under 2.5 38.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 22.11.2025 14:30 UTC

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.99 market consensus · line only

X 3.78 market consensus · line only

1 3.51 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.31 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.84 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.69 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.51 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	3.58 27.9%
Х	3.89 25.7%
П2	2.03 49.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	3.45 29.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.70 27.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%
Х	3.75 26.7%	3.80 26.3%	3.94 25.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.75 26.7%	3.75 26.7%
П2	1.99 50.3%	2.03 49.3%	2.03 49.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.45 40.8%	2.63 38.0%	2.48 40.3%	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.63 38.0%	2.44 41.0%	2.65 37.7%
yes	1.48 67.6%	1.49 67.1%	1.49 67.1%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%	1.49 67.1%	1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.89 52.9%