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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
25.04.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction Prediction
25.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football
Stadium AOK Stadion
Capacity 30 000
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Finished
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 VfL Wolfsburg — 39%

1 · VfL Wolfsburg39.5%
X · draw26.1%
2 · Borussia Monchengladbach34.4%

Model estimate: win VfL Wolfsburg 39.5%, draw 26.1%, win Borussia Monchengladbach 34.4%. Model favourite — VfL Wolfsburg.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Monchengladbach April 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Strongest: VfL Wolfsburg - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.57 / 2 2.97
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 42.0% / X 26.4% / Borussia Monchengladbach 31.7%
  • Glicko: VfL Wolfsburg 39.5% / X 26.1% / Borussia Monchengladbach 34.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 34.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 42.0%
X 26.3%
2 31.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 58.8%
Under 2.5 41.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 3/4
Confidence 42.0%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:0

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center
Start 25.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Stadium AOK Stadion (Wolfsburg)
Capacity 30,000

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model VfL Wolfsburg 39%
💹 Market VfL Wolfsburg 4197%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Monchengladbach

VfL Wolfsburg: Win 2.15 VfL Wolfsburg: Draw 3.75 Borussia Mönchengladbach Win: 2.90 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.62 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.30 Individualnyy total golov VfL Wolfsburg bolshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy total golov VfL Wolfsburg menshe 1.5: 1.83 In…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 12
Statistics 26
Lineups 39
min Event Player Team
61' 61' Yellow Card | Fabio Chiarodia Borussia Mönchengladbach
70' 70' Substitution 1 | Aaron Zehnter | assist/sub out: Saël Kumbedi VfL Wolfsburg
70' 70' Substitution 2 | M. Amoura | assist/sub out: Adam Daghim VfL Wolfsburg
77' 77' Substitution 1 | Franck Honorat | assist/sub out: Robin Hack L. Prescott Borussia Mönchengladbach
77' 77' Substitution 2 | Kevin Stöger | assist/sub out: G. Reyna Borussia Mönchengladbach
83' 83' Substitution 3 | P. Wimmer | assist/sub out: Kevin Paredes VfL Wolfsburg
89' 89' Substitution 3 | Haris Tabaković | assist/sub out: S. Machino Borussia Mönchengladbach
90+2' 90+2' Substitution 4 | Fabio Chiarodia | assist/sub out: Kota Takai Borussia Mönchengladbach
Metric VfL Wolfsburg Borussia Monchengladbach SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.47 0.51 final
Zablokirovannye udary 3 1 final
Shots off target 5 7 final
Shots on target 4 2 final
Udary vsego 12 10 final
Fouls soversheno 11 5 final
Red cards 0 1 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 3 final
VfL Wolfsburg #1 K. Grabara, #3 D. Vavro, #4 K. Koulierakis, #5 Vinicius Souza, #6 J. Belocian, #9 M. Amoura, #17 D. Pejčinović, #21 J. Mæhle, #24 C. Eriksen, #25 A. Zehnter, #39 Patrick Wimmer
Borussia Monchengladbach #2 F. Chiarodia, #6 Y. Engelhardt, #7 K. Stöger, #9 F. Honorat, #15 H. Tabaković, #16 P. Sander, #17 J. Castrop, #27 R. Reitz, #29 J. Scally, #30 N. Elvedi, #33 M. Nicolas
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Daghim VfL Wolfsburg Seyvy 0
A. Zehnter VfL Wolfsburg Dribling popytki 1
A. Zehnter VfL Wolfsburg Dribling uspeshno 2
A. Zehnter VfL Wolfsburg Edinoborstva vyigrano 2
A. Zehnter VfL Wolfsburg Fouls na igroke 1
A. Zehnter VfL Wolfsburg Seyvy 0
A. Zehnter VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 67
A. Zehnter VfL Wolfsburg Klyuchevye pasy 19
A. Zehnter VfL Wolfsburg Pasy vsego 1
A. Zehnter VfL Wolfsburg Reyting (staryy) 6.9
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
VfL Wolfsburg 42.8% 39.5% market and model agree
Draw 26.2% 26.1% draw risk
Borussia Monchengladbach 31.0% 34.4%
xG - 1.38 : 1.27
Total 2.5 Over 34.1% - Under 66.0%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 39.5% / 26.1% / 34.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,398 / 1,448 VfL Wolfsburg / Borussia Monchengladbach
RD 75 / 75 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.97 market consensus · no value · model 34.4%
X 3.57 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.24 market consensus · no value · model 39.5%
Double chance
X2 1.63 market consensus · no value · model 60.5%
12 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 73.9%
1X 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 65.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.91 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.89 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 34.1%
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · weak value +52.3% · model 66.0%
Both teams to score
No 2.44 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.18 45.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.76 26.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8%
3.00 33.3% 3.18 31.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.50 40.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.39 41.8% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.51 66.2% 1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.75 — 1.21 82.6%
Over 2.0 — 1.26 79.4%
Over 2.25 — 1.43 69.9%
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5% 1.68 59.5%
Over 3.5 2.45 40.8% —
Over 4.5 4.33 23.1% —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% —
Under 1.5 4.50 22.2% —
Under 2.5 2.30 43.5% —
Under 3.5 1.53 65.4% —
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3% —
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
Founded 1945
Borussia Monchengladbach
Founded 1900
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
W L L L D
18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:6 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points
Borussia Monchengladbach
D L D D W
19.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 MayntsMaynts
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 2:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 3:3 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
13.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 2:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Monchengladbach

VfL Wolfsburg
2 matches total
Borussia Monchengladbach
VfL Wolfsburg: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Borussia Monchengladbach: 0 (0%)
Biggest win VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 (13.12 14:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 13.12 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
3:1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
1:0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.