Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
11.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

Germany Futbol
Stadium Volkswagen Arena
Capacity 30 000
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 2
Finished
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Eintracht Frankfurt43%

1 · VfL Wolfsburg31.2%
X · draw25.8%
2 · Eintracht Frankfurt43.0%

Model estimate: win VfL Wolfsburg 31.2%, draw 25.8%, win Eintracht Frankfurt 43.0%. Model favourite — Eintracht Frankfurt.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 11 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.54 / X 3.58 / 2 2.65
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 37.5% / X 26.6% / Eintracht Frankfurt 35.9%
  • Glicko: VfL Wolfsburg 31.2% / X 25.8% / Eintracht Frankfurt 43.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 31.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 37.5%
X 26.6%
2 35.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 58.9%
Under 2.5 41.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П2

Main outcome П2
Agreement 3/4
Confidence 40.4%
Total ТМ 2.5
Score 1:1

Модели не полностью совпадают, поэтому прогноз нужно сверять с рынком и линией.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 11.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Stadium Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)
Capacity 30,000

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ?????  ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Eintracht Frankfurt 43%
💹 Market VfL Wolfsburg 3745%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

VfL Wolfsburg: Победа 2.55 VfL Wolfsburg: Ничья 3.50 Eintracht Frankfurt Победа: 2.62 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.62 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 2.30 Индивидуальный тотал голов VfL Wolfsburg больше 1.5: 2.00 Индивидуальный тотал голов VfL Wolfsburg меньше 1.5: 1.73 Индивид…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 16
Statistics 24
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
21' 21' Normal Goal | Oscar Højlund | assist/sub out: Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab Eintracht Frankfurt
30' 30' Yellow Card | Jeanuël Belocian VfL Wolfsburg
32' 32' Normal Goal | Arnaud Kalimuendo | assist/sub out: Jonathan Burkardt Eintracht Frankfurt
46' 46' Substitution 1 | Jesper Lindstrøm | assist/sub out: Lovro Majer Аврора Носей VfL Wolfsburg
59' 59' Yellow Card | Vinícius Souza M. Sepúlveda VfL Wolfsburg
67' 67' Yellow Card | Aurèle Amenda Eintracht Frankfurt
71' 71' Substitution 1 | Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab | assist/sub out: Ansgar Knauff Eintracht Frankfurt
74' 74' Substitution 2 | Christian Eriksen | assist/sub out: Maximilian Arnold VfL Wolfsburg
Metric VfL Wolfsburg Eintracht Frankfurt SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 2.33 1.29 final
Заблокированные удары 6 4 final
Удары мимо 9 2 final
Удары в створ 7 4 final
Удары всего 22 10 final
Фолы совершено 9 8 final
Желтые карточки 2 1 final
Офсайды 1 2 final
VfL Wolfsburg #1 K. Grabara, #3 D. Vavro, #5 Vinicius Souza, #6 J. Belocian, #9 M. Amoura, #15 M. Jenz, #19 J. Lindstrøm, #21 J. Mæhle, #24 C. Eriksen, #25 A. Zehnter, #39 Patrick Wimmer
Eintracht Frankfurt #3 Arthur Theate, #4 R. Koch, #5 A. Amenda, #6 O. Hojlund, #8 Farès Chaïbi, #9 J. Burkardt, #16 H. Larsson, #21 Nathaniel Brown, #23 M. Zetterer, #25 A. Kalimuendo, #29 A. Amaimouni
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.assists 1
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Дриблинг попытки 3
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Дриблинг успешно 2
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Единоборства выиграно 6
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Фолы совершено 1
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Фолы на игроке 1
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Пропущено голов 2
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Сейвы 0
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 71
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Точность пасов % 1
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
VfL Wolfsburg 38.0% 31.2% market favourite
Draw 26.3% 25.8% draw risk
Eintracht Frankfurt 35.8% 43.0% Glicko-противоход
xG - 1.20 : 1.45
Total 2.5 Over 31.7% - Under 68.3%
Model check - - Difference 0.07
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.07

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.2% / 25.8% / 43.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,391 / 1,518 VfL Wolfsburg / Eintracht Frankfurt
RD 77 / 76 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 43.0%
X 3.58 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.54 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.2%
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 68.9%
12 1.28 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 74.2%
1X 1.46 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 57.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.59 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · no value · model 31.7%
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · weak value +57.7% · model 68.3%
Both teams to score
No 2.52 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 2.52 39.7% 2.56 39.1% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.50 40.0%
Х 3.65 27.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
П2 2.52 39.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.77 36.1% 2.62 38.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.63 38.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.45 40.8% 2.58 38.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.46 40.7% 2.60 38.5%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.0 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25 1.06 94.3%
ТБ 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.13 88.5%
ТБ 1.75 1.16 86.2%
ТБ 2.0 1.22 82.0%
ТБ 2.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 3.0 2.04 49.0%
ТБ 3.5 2.55 39.2%
ТБ 4.5 4.50 22.2%
ТМ 0.5 10.00 10.0%
ТМ 1.5 4.50 22.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.25 44.4%
ТМ 3.0 1.86 53.8%
ТМ 3.5 1.50 66.7%
ТМ 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
Founded 1945
Eintracht Frankfurt
Founded 1899
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
MM M. Müller Muscle Injury
JW J. Wind Muscle Injury
Eintracht Frankfurt
RK R. Kristensen Ankle Injury
NC N. Collins Ankle Injury
VfL Wolfsburg Founded: 1945
Eintracht Frankfurt Founded: 1899
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
L L D L L
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:6 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
01.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.8 Conceded
1 Points
Eintracht Frankfurt
D L W D W
05.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
22.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 MayntsMaynts
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
08.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
01.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 FrayburgFrayburg
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

VfL Wolfsburg
2 matches total
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Eintracht Frankfurt: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 (14.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 14.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (30.11 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

30.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
1:1
Eintracht Frankfurt
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
1:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Match center
? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.